18-10-1 on season +24 units going into week 8 picks
4 Units Houston – 3 at Buffalo (buying a half a point) (WIN)
Houston is having trouble “pulling away” from teams. They built up a double digit lead vs SF but let SF back into the game and eventually pushed their line this week. I do not see them dominating the Bills, rather I see them giving up some major rush yards to the duo of Jackson and lynch, but in the end, they will force Fitzpatrick to beat them, and in turn should just cover this line. I see something like 24-20 or 27-23 Houston, a 4 point win.
2 units Tennessee – 3 VS Jacksonville (WIN)
Every logical thing says to go for the Jags WITH 3 points. Better record, better talent, better QB and they’ve won a freakin game! (and also didn’t lose by 59). Shouldn’t Tennesse be GETTING points in this one? Well they are not, and that is precisely why I’m betting them. Vegas is begging you to take Jax with 3 points. And when a game goes against logic, there is a big question mark in my mind. Take Tennessee led by, gulp, vince young.
1 Unit on Giants (Pick) @ Philly. (LOSS)
Giants cant lose 3 in a row…can they? To me, Philly just has not looked very good, like an “elite” team. Nor has the Giants…but if pride and motivation have any factor, I say the Giants win by at least a field goal. Donovan hasn’t looked particularly great, westbrook aint gonna play, philly’s on a short week (AND LOST TO THE RAIDERS). I’ll take the Giants.
1 Unit on Minnesotta +3 @ Green Bay (WIN)
They hung in there and easily should/could have won in Pitt. Oh and they have AP. That’s enough for me to say this one will be close. Gimme the points.
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